Former Google CEO predicts AI will replace most programmers in a year
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Apr 23, 2025
AI will replace most programmers within a year and reach superintelligent capabilities within six, according to a former CEO of Google.
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In just one year, your newest co-worker might not be human, but rather an autonomous AI agent
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That's not a recent Netflix sci-fi pitch. It's a prediction from former Google CEO Eric Schmidt
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We believe as an industry that in the next one year, the vast majority of programmers
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will be replaced by AI programmers. At the AI and biotechnology summit in Washington
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D.C., the tech mogul told the audience AI is about to hit a major turning point
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the ability to plan, a function that takes it closer to what is known as super intelligence
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Super intelligence when AI can outperform humans in reasoning, creativity, and complex problem
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solving is only about six years away, according to Schmidt. And if that doesn't keep you up at
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night, even in the short term, the transformation will be huge. Schmidt believes by next year
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most programming jobs will be handled by AI. He explains AI now solves problems by making choices
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And it'll show you how it goes up the decision path. It'll try something. It didn't work
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It goes back or tries something else. Didn't work. Oh, it was here. Oh, it worked. And then
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it goes over here and so forth. It's following the tree of choices. This kind of thinking
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he says is no longer exclusive to people Right now millions of us are already using tools like ChatGPT Gemini Claude and Grok not just for work but for personal advice and even psychological help But Schmidt says that just the beginning
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The real game changer is artificial general intelligence, or AGI, which he describes as
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the smartest mathematician, physicist, artist, writer, thinker, or politician. According to Schmidt, achieving AGI would place a brilliant mind at everyone's fingertips, capable of advanced
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design, contract negotiation, or policy drafting. That's when AI can do any intellectual task a human
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can in one computer. And it begs the question. What happens when every single one of us has the
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equivalent of the smartest human on every problem in our pocket? If these AI agents really do become
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the best at everything, Schmidt says they'll transform every field from business to government
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to academia. And that shift may come with consequences. In the next year or two
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this foundation is being locked in and we're not going to stop it
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So if it feels like AI is everywhere, at work, in the news, even in your personal life
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just know this. Schmidt warns it's only the beginning. People do not understand what happens
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when you have intelligence at this level, which is largely free. That's the point
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How do we get ready for it
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